The Florida Panthers look to build on their series lead as they prepare to host the Edmonton Oilers for Game 4 of the 2025 Stanley Cup Final this Thursday. While the Oilers took Game 1 in overtime on home ice, the Panthers have seized momentum with back-to-back victories. Florida`s dominant 6-1 win in Game 3 on Monday saw Sergei Bobrovsky make 32 saves and six different players score.
Puck drop for Game 4 is set for 8 p.m. ET at Amerant Bank Arena in Sunrise, Florida. According to the latest odds, Florida is favored on the moneyline at -150, while Edmonton is the underdog at +125. The total goals over/under is 6.5. Florida is also favored on the puck line at -1.5 with odds of +160. A notable player prop bet is on Edmonton`s Evan Bouchard, who had nine shots in Game 3, priced at +425 to score in Game 4.
Before making any wagers, it`s worth considering the insights from SportsLine`s expert Matt Severance, who has a strong track record with a 160-85-9 run on his recent NHL picks.
Why You Might Back the Oilers
Edmonton rarely loses three games in a row, a skid they haven`t experienced since early February in the regular season. They`ve only dropped consecutive playoff games once in 2025, responding immediately with a decisive 7-4 victory. Furthermore, the Oilers have a solid 7-2 record in Game 4 scenarios dating back to 2022.
Another key factor is Connor McDavid. Game 3 was only the third time in these playoffs he failed to record a point. Historically, he has followed up such performances with multi-point efforts. Expect him to be highly motivated to prevent his team from falling into a difficult 3-1 series hole.
Why You Should Consider the Panthers
Momentum is a significant factor, and it`s firmly with the home-ice Panthers. While the first two games were tight one-goal affairs, Game 3 was a clear demonstration of Florida`s superiority, with strong offensive contributions from players like Sam Bennett and Brad Marchand. This marked the 11th time in these playoffs that the Panthers have scored five or more goals.
Goaltending also appears to favor Florida. Bobrovsky has faced 116 shots over three games and was exceptional in Game 3, allowing just a single goal. Conversely, Edmonton`s Stuart Skinner was pulled in Game 3 after giving up five goals on only 23 shots. The expert notes Skinner`s inconsistent play this postseason and the possibility of Edmonton considering a change in net for Game 4.
Expert`s Final Word
After thoroughly analyzing the matchup, expert Matt Severance has locked in his confident prediction for Oilers vs. Panthers Game 4. He is leaning towards the Over on the total goals, but he has identified a specific, crucial X-factor that makes one side a compelling pick. His full breakdown provides the details on which team to back.
