The Wednesday NBA schedule includes six games, with a highlight being the New York Knicks hosting the Los Angeles Clippers. The Knicks are playing the second game of a back-to-back. They are currently 5-6 overall and have a 2-9 record against the spread in the second half of back-to-backs. Notably, they have allowed an average of 127.5 points in their last four such games. This raises the question of whether to consider Clippers player props when making your Wednesday NBA prop bets. James Harden`s availability is uncertain due to a foot injury, but Kawhi Leonard has a points over/under set at 22.5, and he has exceeded this in his last six games. Should Leonard`s point total be a part of your NBA player prop strategy? FanDuel Sportsbook offers odds of +400 for Leonard to score at least 30 points, a feat he last achieved on March 18 against the Cavaliers.
The SportsLine Projection Model, which simulates each NBA game 10,000 times, boasts a strong track record, having returned over $10,000 to $100 bettors on its top-rated NBA picks over the past six-plus seasons. This model has now released its projections for some of Wednesday`s most popular NBA player props.
Jamal Murray Over 1.5 steals + blocks (+128)
Jamal Murray has recorded at least two steals in two of his last four games, and projections estimate him at 1.5 steals for Wednesday. This suggests a high probability of him reaching this combined steals and blocks number even without considering blocks. Murray has also tallied a block in two of his last five games, adding to his potential to exceed this prop. With Nikola Jokic doubtful against the Bucks due to an ankle injury, Murray is expected to handle a significant workload in a game between two of the league`s fastest-paced teams. He has gone over this combined steals and blocks number in 60% of home games this season. At +128 odds on Bet365, this appears to be a favorable bet.
Mikal Bridges Over 3.5 rebounds (+142)
Mikal Bridges has seen an increased role with Jalen Brunson sidelined for the past 12 games due to an ankle injury. In these 12 games without Brunson, Bridges has exceeded 3.5 rebounds in eight of them. He has also gone over 3.5 rebounds in three of his last four games. Despite grabbing only one rebound on Tuesday, the model suggests the current odds are an overreaction to a single game. The model projects Bridges at 3.6 rebounds, making the +142 odds at FanDuel Sportsbook a valuable opportunity.
Josh Hart Under 6.5 assists (+110)
Josh Hart is coming off an 11-assist performance as part of a triple-double on Tuesday. However, he has not exceeded six assists in the second game of a back-to-back in his last five attempts. Furthermore, he has failed to surpass his assist over/under in eight of his last 10 home games against winning teams, and the Knicks are set to face the Clippers. Several sportsbooks offer plus-money odds for this under, but DraftKings Sportsbook currently provides the best odds at +110. The model projects Hart to finish with 6.1 assists.
Alex Sarr Over 26.5 points + rebounds + assists (-116)
The model identifies this as an opportune time to bet on Alex Sarr, as he has gone under this total in his last two games. Prior to this, he exceeded this number in eight of nine games and has maintained an aggressive scoring approach, crucial for points, rebounds, and assists (PRA) bets. Sarr attempted 19 shots on Monday despite scoring only 16 points, and he is averaging 17 field goal attempts over his last six games. With Washington`s season being challenging and injuries impacting their roster, Sarr and Jordan Poole are the only active players averaging double-digit points. Therefore, Sarr will have ample opportunities. He is projected to reach a total of 30 points + rebounds + assists.
Nic Claxton Over 20.5 points + rebounds (-110)
With Cameron Johnson (rest) and backup center Day`Ron Sharpe (knee) unavailable for the Nets on Wednesday, Nic Claxton is expected to see an increase in both playing time and usage. The 25-year-old center scored 19 points and grabbed seven rebounds in 27 minutes against the Mavericks on Monday. The model projects him for 13.2 points and 10.6 rebounds on Wednesday. Claxton has averaged 10 rebounds in his last four games. The Nets are playing the Raptors, against whom Claxton previously recorded 16 points and 10 rebounds earlier this season. He has achieved a points + rebounds total of at least 25 in three of his last four games against Toronto. His prop line has already increased from 19.5 to 20.5 on sportsbooks and may rise further as game time approaches.
Want more NBA picks for tonight?
You`ve seen the model`s NBA prop picks for the most popular props on Wednesday. For complete NBA projections for every player prop, visit SportsLine.
