On Friday, the Memphis Grizzlies will play against the Los Angeles Clippers in a Western Conference matchup. The Grizzlies have a 43-27 record and are currently the No. 5 seed in the West, while the Clippers, led by Kawhi Leonard, are 39-30 and hold the No. 7 seed. In their recent games, Memphis has a 5-5 record, while Los Angeles has won 7 out of their last 10.
The Clippers are favored by 6.5 points. The betting odds indicate that the Clippers are strong favorites to win. The total points over/under is set at 231.5.
For those interested in player prop bets for the Grizzlies-Clippers game, especially concerning Leonard, it’s recommended to check out predictions from a sports analytics model.
This model, which simulates each NBA game 10,000 times, has a strong track record in NBA betting predictions over the last six years. It offers top-rated prop picks for various player bets, which can be helpful for creating successful parlays on different betting platforms.
Let’s examine the model’s top three player prop recommendations for the Grizzlies-Clippers game and see the potential payout if combined into a same-game parlay.
Kawhi Leonard – Under 32.5 Points + Rebounds + Assists (-112)
Despite injury challenges this year, Leonard has performed consistently in 26 games. For Friday’s game against Memphis, his combined points, rebounds, and assists prop line is 32.5. However, the model predicts he will stay under this line, projecting him at 23.5 combined. He has gone under this line in 8 of his last 10 games against teams with weaker defenses.
Ivica Zubac – Under 12.5 Total Rebounds (+100)
Zubac is a top rebounder in the league, ranking fourth in rebounds per game. Yet, the model anticipates he will get fewer than 12.5 rebounds on Friday. He has been under his rebounds line in his last five games against bottom-third defense teams, averaging 8.6 rebounds in those games. The model projects Zubac to have around 11.9 rebounds against the Grizzlies.
James Harden – Under 31.5 Total Points + Assists (-114)
Harden has been performing well in his second Clippers season, averaging 31.2 combined points and assists per game. Nevertheless, the model suggests he will be under his 31.5 prop line for Friday. Harden has been under his points + assists prop in four of his last five games when the Clippers were favored against winning teams with weaker defenses. In these games, he averaged 24.6 combined points and assists, and the model projects him at 29.3 for Friday’s game.
Same-Game Parlay Odds: +605