Lakers fans have long suspected that injured opposing players tend to return to play specifically against their team. JJ Redick revealed that the Lakers` analytics department actually investigated this fan theory.
The recent game against the Memphis Grizzlies, where Ja Morant returned after a six-game absence, sparked new conspiracy discussions. Many speculated that Morant`s return was linked to the dismissal of the former Grizzlies head coach. While that was a talking point elsewhere, Lakers fans had different concerns.
For years, Lakers fans have believed that injured players return to face them at a higher rate. Luka Dončić even mentioned this theory in early March, saying he didn`t believe it initially but now sees a pattern of players returning from long absences specifically against the Lakers.
Redick stated that their analytics department looked into it and found some interesting data. He mentioned that approximately 86% of opposing team payroll has been available to play against the Lakers this year, which is the highest in the league.
It`s important to consider the context. Redick provided data for a single season and team. To draw definitive conclusions, comparisons with league-wide data over multiple seasons are needed. Additionally, payroll availability is an imperfect metric, as payroll distribution and player value can vary. This data point is interesting but not conclusive proof of a conspiracy.
Despite the need for more data, the anecdotal evidence is compelling. Dončić`s comments in March followed a series of injured players returning against the Lakers in quick succession. While frustrating for fans, it wasn`t definitive. Redick`s investigation takes it further, suggesting that this season, the Lakers have faced healthier opponents compared to the rest of the league. This insight could be beneficial for the Lakers in game planning, as they can anticipate that even questionable players are more likely to play against them.
