On Friday, the Winnipeg Jets travel to St. Louis aiming to clinch their series against the Blues in Game 6 of the first round of the Stanley Cup Playoffs. A significant trend in the series has been the home team winning every game so far. The Blues need this pattern to persist to force a decisive Game 7, which would be held in Winnipeg on Sunday.
St. Louis enters the game as -121 favorites on the moneyline playing at home, according to consensus odds. The Jets are the road underdogs at +101, despite initially opening with favored odds themselves at -115. The total goals line is set at 5.5, with the Under currently favored at -130.
Jets forward Kyle Connor had a high-scoring regular season, nearing 100 points, and has been effective in this series against the Blues, contributing four goals and four assists. His points prop line, set at 1.5, is a central element of Friday`s potential NHL same-game parlay, constructed with insights from the SportsLine Projection Model.
The SportsLine Projection Model, which simulates every NHL game 10,000 times, offers top-rated prop picks available under its `Prop Picks` section. These picks are rated on a scale up to five stars for various player prop bets, providing valuable analysis for building winning parlays or same-game parlays on betting platforms.
Based on the SportsLine model, here are three highly-rated player prop picks for Game 6 between the Jets and Blues, along with their potential payout if combined into a same-game parlay (+469):
- Kyle Connor: Under 1.5 total points (-235) – 5 stars
- Josh Morrisey: Under 0.5 total points (-118) – 4 stars
- Pavel Buchnevich: Under 0.5 total points (+116) – 4 stars
The model anticipates a low-scoring game in St. Louis tonight, which influences all three props in this parlay to be Unders. Despite his season output, Kyle Connor is projected to score just 0.4 total points, consistent with him finishing under his 1.5 prop in four of his last five games. Jets defenseman Josh Morrisey, who finished fourth on the team in scoring this season but has only recorded two assists in this series (both in Game 1), is projected for a mere 0.1 total points. He has not recorded a single point in his last five road games against winning teams. For the Blues, Pavel Buchnevich, their fourth-highest scorer this season who has seven total points in this series including a hat trick in Game 3, is also an Under pick with a projection of 0.3 points. He has gone Under this prop line four times in the last five games where the Blues were favored.
