Panthers vs. Maple Leafs Game 3 Preview, Odds, and Expert Picks

NHL News

The Florida Panthers aim to overcome a two-game deficit as they host the Toronto Maple Leafs for Game 3 of their 2025 Stanley Cup Playoffs conference semifinal series on Friday. Toronto won the first two games in Toronto by a single goal each, coming back after falling behind in both matchups against the defending champions. Game 3 is scheduled for 7 p.m. ET at Amerant Bank Arena in Sunrise, Florida.

According to the latest odds, Florida is favored at -238 on the money line, while Toronto is the underdog at +193. The over/under for total goals scored is set at 6. Florida is also favored on the puck line at -1.5 (+115).

Predictions for this game are available from a proven sports model.

Top Betting Picks

Maple Leafs +1.5 (-137)

Four of the last five meetings between these two teams, including both regular season and playoff games, have been decided by a single goal. Five of Toronto`s eight playoff games have been decided by one goal, with three going into overtime. The model predicts the Maple Leafs will keep Game 3 close and cover the +1.5 puck line in nearly 80% of simulations.

Auston Matthews Over 3.5 shots on goal (-105)

Maple Leafs forward Auston Matthews is tied for the lead among players still in the playoffs with 29 shots on goal through eight games. He has recorded three or more shots in seven of those eight games, making the Over 3.5 line appealing.

Morris Thwaite
Morris Thwaite

Morris Thwaite is a respected figure in the Sheffield sports media landscape. Originally trained as a statistician, Morris brings a data-driven approach to his coverage of football, snooker, and athletics. His analytical deep-dives have revolutionized how local outlets report on sporting performance.

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