The 2025 Stanley Cup Final series between the Florida Panthers and Edmonton Oilers began with two exciting overtime contests. After Edmonton took Game 1 in extra time, Florida responded by winning Game 2 in double overtime. Game 2 featured the latest tying goal ever seen in a Stanley Cup Final before the Panthers, the defending champions, secured a 5-4 victory thanks to Brad Marchand`s goal. The third game is scheduled for Monday at Amerant Bank Arena in Sunrise, with puck drop at 8 p.m. ET.
Looking at the latest odds for Game 3, Florida is listed as the favorite on the money line at -146, meaning a $146 wager wins $100. Edmonton is the underdog at +123 (a $100 bet wins $123). The total number of goals (over/under) is set at 6.5. For the puck line, the Panthers are favored at -1.5 with odds of +166.
The SportsLine Projection Model, which simulates each NHL game 10,000 times, has a solid track record. Leading up to the 2025 Stanley Cup Final, the model had a combined record of 80-56 on top-rated puck line and over/under betting selections, generating over $1,600 in profit for players wagering $100.
Based on its analysis, here are the model`s recommended bets for the Panthers vs. Oilers Game 3 on Monday (note that odds may change):
- Oilers +1.5 on the puck line (-202)
- Under 6.5 goals (-120)
These two teams met in the Stanley Cup Final last year and appear headed for another lengthy series. The opening two games both required overtime, underscoring their tight matchups. Edmonton has been strong against the puck line, covering the 1.5-goal spread in 15 of their last 16 postseason games. The Oilers also outshot the Panthers in both Game 1 and Game 2. The model`s simulations show Edmonton covering this spread in over 70% of outcomes.
Having reviewed one of the model`s top picks for Monday`s game, you can find additional predictions for every game from the SportsLine model, which started the 2025 NHL playoffs Stanley Cup Final with a combined 80-56 record on top-rated puck-line and over/under wagers.
While the first two games exceeded the total goal line, this was largely driven by high scoring in the initial periods (three goals in Game 1`s first period, five in Game 2`s). Coaches are expected to emphasize defensive improvements early in Game 3. Notably, only two goals were scored combined in the final three regulation periods and both overtime periods of Game 2. The model projects the total goals to stay Under 6.5 on Monday, rating this pick highly.
For those seeking more NHL predictions for Monday, the model also offers its top parlay picks for Game 3 of the Panthers vs. Oilers series.
