The Dallas Stars face a must-win situation at home against the Edmonton Oilers in Game 5 of the 2025 Stanley Cup playoffs Western Conference Final on Thursday. Despite starting the series with a dominant 6-3 win, Dallas now trails the series and is on the verge of elimination after losing three consecutive games. The pivotal Game 5 is scheduled to start at 8 p.m. ET at the American Airlines Center in Dallas.
According to the latest odds, Dallas is listed as a -129 favorite on the money line (risking $129 to win $100), while Edmonton is a +109 underdog (risking $100 to win $109). The total goals over/under is set at 6, with the Stars listed at -1.5 (+191) on the puck line. For betting insights on the Oilers vs. Stars matchup, consider predictions from SportsLine`s projection model, which simulates every NHL game 10,000 times.
Entering the second week of the 2025 NHL playoffs conference finals, the SportsLine model holds an 80-56 record on top-rated NHL puck-line and over/under betting picks.
SportsLine`s Best Bets for Game 5:
- Stars on the money line (-130)
- Under 6 goals (-115)
Although Edmonton has controlled the last three games, the SportsLine model favors the Stars to force a Game 6 while playing at home. Dallas had a strong record at the American Airlines Center, winning seven consecutive games prior to their 3-0 loss to Edmonton in Game 2. The model predicts the Stars will win this game outright in nearly 60% of its simulations.
The total goals going `Under` has occurred in half of the games in this series so far. Furthermore, the Under bet has been successful in 55% of all games involving these two teams throughout the season. Edmonton`s goalie, Stuart Skinner, has been solid, giving up just two goals in the last three contests, including a 25-save shutout in Game 2 in Dallas. Betting on Under 6 total goals is currently offered at -115 odds.
For those seeking additional NHL picks for Thursday, expert analysis is available.
