The Oklahoma City Thunder, the NBA`s leading team with a 58-12 record, including 27-7 on the road, are set to play against the Los Angeles Clippers, who are currently battling to avoid the NBA Play-In Tournament. The Clippers hold a 40-30 record, with a strong 25-10 home record, and are just a half-game away from potentially securing sixth place in the conference, which would guarantee them a spot outside of the Play-In Tournament. The Thunder will be without Jalen Williams (hip injury) for this game.
The game is scheduled to tip off at 9 p.m. ET at the Intuit Dome in Inglewood, California. The Thunder are favored by 3.5 points, with money line odds at -165, while the Clippers are at +138. The over/under for the game is set at 228.5 points.
For those interested in creating a same-game parlay for this Thunder-Clippers matchup, especially focusing on Kawhi Leonard, insights from the SportsLine Projection Model are crucial. SportsLine`s model, known for its accuracy in NBA predictions and having generated over $10,000 in profit for $100 bettors over six seasons, has simulated this game 10,000 times. It offers projected over/under values for each player. Here are three top NBA picks from the model for Sunday to consider for your same-game parlay.
Under 229.5 Total Points (-110 at DraftKings)
The under has been successful in two out of three previous games between the Thunder and Clippers this season, with both of those games totaling under 215 points. Both teams are strong defensively, ranking in the top five in the NBA for scoring defense. The Thunder are second, allowing 106.9 points per game, and the Clippers are fourth, allowing 108.5 points per game. Despite the offensive talent on both teams, the SportsLine model predicts the under is likely to occur in over 60% of simulations. With some sportsbooks setting the over/under at 228.5, DraftKings Sportsbook`s line of 229.5 at -110 odds provides good value.
Kawhi Leonard Under 30.5 Points + Rebounds + Assists & Over 3.5 Total Rebounds (-115 at DraftKings)
Kawhi Leonard, a premier two-way player, has shown less offensive dominance against top defensive teams this season. He has gone under his combined points, rebounds, and assists total in four of his last five home games against teams with winning records and top 10 defenses. Facing the Thunder, who have the league`s second-best defense, Leonard has not reached this combined total in their two prior matchups this season.
Ivica Zubac Under 12.5 Rebounds (-108 at DraftKings)
Clippers center Ivica Zubac has recorded under 12.5 rebounds in two of his last four games. He faces a challenge against the Oklahoma City Thunder, a team known for efficient shooting. Oklahoma City is eighth in shooting percentage (47.9%), which reduces opportunities for defensive rebounds. Zubac has gone under this rebound total in two of three games against the Thunder this season and in three of his last five home games as an underdog.
Same-Game Parlay Odds: +472
Looking for more NBA picks for tonight?
These are the top same-game parlay picks for the Thunder vs. Clippers game on Sunday. For NBA picks for every game, check out SportsLine`s proven model, which has a strong track record over the past six seasons.
