Tuesday`s NBA schedule is packed with eight exciting games, with the spotlight on Jimmy Butler`s return to Miami with the Warriors. This game is filled with anticipation as Butler faces his former team for the first time since the trade. After a period of tension, the Heat traded Butler. Will he be extra motivated to deliver a stellar performance in Miami tonight?
Bookmakers have set Butler`s over/under for total points at 20.5 or 21.5, depending on the betting platform. Should you consider betting on his points in NBA player props? Butler offers more than just scoring, so his points + rebounds + assists over/under of 34.5 might also be an interesting option for Tuesday`s NBA prop bets. For those looking for a bigger payout, DraftKings Sportsbook offers +900 odds for Butler to achieve his fourth triple-double of the season.
The SportsLine Projection Model, known for simulating each NBA game 10,000 times, has shown impressive results, generating over $10,000 in profit for $100 bettors on its top-rated NBA picks over the past six seasons. The model has now released its projections for some of Tuesday`s most popular NBA player props.
Jimmy Butler: Over 1.5 Steals + Blocks (+115)
The model predicts Butler to play with significant intensity. A five-time All-Defensive Team honoree, Butler averaged 1.7 steals per game during his time with Miami. He has maintained his defensive skills with Golden State, recording multiple steals in two of his last four games, including two steals and two blocks against the Raptors last Thursday. Considering his personal motivation and the opportunity to get +115 odds on Bet365, betting on over 1.5 steals + blocks could be a smart play.
Mikal Bridges: Over 21.5 Points + Rebounds (-105)
Bridges demonstrated his scoring ability with 27 points and six rebounds against the Wizards on Saturday. He has exceeded 20 points in four of the eight games played without Jalen Brunson, often reaching this mark even without rebounds. Adding to his value, Bridges is averaging 4.1 rebounds per game in this period, supporting this prop bet. The model projects Bridges to score 20.3 points, partly due to increased aggression from beyond the arc. He has made 13 of 32 three-point attempts (40.6%) while attempting at least three 3-pointers in each of his last seven games. While his prop number has increased from 20.5 to 21.5, DraftKings offers the best odds at -105.
Fred VanVleet: Over 3.5 Rebounds (+116)
VanVleet has surpassed this rebound total in four of his last six games and is averaging 4.3 rebounds per game this month over eight games. The model forecasts him to secure four rebounds on Tuesday. His season average is 3.9 rebounds per game, making the plus-money odds on this prop bet attractive. VanVleet played 42 minutes on Sunday and has played at least 35 minutes in his last three games. FanDuel Sportsbook currently offers the best odds at +116.
Miles Bridges: Over 30.5 Points + Rebounds + Assists (-110)
Miles Bridges has exceeded this combined total in nine of his last 12 games, including a performance of 17 points, 13 rebounds, and four assists against the Heat on Sunday. The 27-year-old is averaging 20.9 points, 7.8 rebounds, and 3.9 assists per game this season. His averages for this month are even higher at 24.5 points, 8.2 rebounds, and 4.6 assists over 12 games, both of which exceed 30 PRA. The model projects him for just over 32 PRA, especially after two double-doubles in his last three games. His prop number has slightly increased from 29.5 to 30.5 on sportsbooks.
Stephon Castle: Over 7.5 Rebounds + Assists (-130)
Betting on Castle`s assists has been unpredictable recently, but he has shown high assist potential with at least seven assists in two of his last five games, including 14 assists against the 76ers on Friday. Adding rebounds makes this prop bet more stable, as he has secured at least five rebounds in three of his last four games. The model projects Castle to play between 28 and 32 minutes, and in games where he plays this duration, he has exceeded 7.5 rebounds + assists in 13 of 17 games. While some sportsbooks have increased his number to 8.5, DraftKings Sportsbook still offers -130 odds at 7.5.
Want more NBA picks for tonight? Get NBA projections for every player prop at SportsLine.
