UFC Mexico Gambling Preview: Moreno vs. Erceg Best Bets

MMA News

UFC returns to Mexico City with an exciting event at Arena CDMX, headlined by a flyweight bout between Brandon Moreno and Steve Erceg. This preview highlights top betting opportunities for the main event and undercard fights.

Betting odds are provided by FanDuel Sportsbook.

Kelvin Gastelum (+240)

The odds for Gastelum against Joe Pyfer are appealing. While initially higher, the current underdog price still presents value. Pyfer, once considered a rising star, showed vulnerabilities against Jack Hermansson. Gastelum`s resilience and strong chin make him a dangerous opponent capable of punishing Pyfer`s weaknesses. This is a worthwhile bet considering the odds.

Brandon Moreno to Win & Round 2 to Start (-185)

For slightly better odds than a straight Moreno win, consider this prop bet. Moreno is favored to defeat Erceg due to his superior and more diverse fighting skills. Erceg`s boxing is strong, but his wrestling defense is questionable. Moreno`s varied striking and durability give him an edge. While a finish is possible, betting on Moreno to win with the fight reaching the second round offers enhanced odds, given Moreno`s limited first-round finishes in recent UFC fights.

Raul Rosas Jr. by Points (+105)

Rosas Jr. is heavily favored against Vince Morales, and for good reason. Rosas` talent is evident, while Morales is considered a less formidable opponent. Rosas should be able to utilize his grappling skills to secure a victory. However, Morales has proven durable, not being submitted since 2018 against strong competition. This suggests the fight is likely to go to a decision, making a bet on Rosas Jr. to win by points attractive.

Loopy Godinez by Points (-155)

Godinez is expected to win against Julia Polastri. Despite recent losses to top contenders Virna Jandiroba and Mackenzie Dern, Godinez is a strong competitor. Polastri`s recent split decision win over Cory McKenna indicates she may struggle against Godinez`s pressure and grappling. Godinez`s style points towards a decision victory rather than a finish, making a points win a solid bet.

Prospect Parlay: David Martinez (-400) & Ateba Gautier (-430) – Parlayed Odds: -185

This parlay features two promising fighters from the Contender Series. David Martinez, making his UFC debut against Saimon Oliveira, is expected to showcase his skills. Oliveira has struggled in the UFC and has been inactive. Martinez, a former Combate champion, is well-prepared for this opportunity.

Ateba Gautier, also debuting against Jose Daniel Medina, is a physical talent likened to Melvin Manhoef. While still developing, Medina is an opponent who allows Gautier to gain experience without significant risk. Parlaying Martinez and Gautier offers good combined odds.

Enjoy the fights and remember to gamble responsibly.

Morris Thwaite
Morris Thwaite

Morris Thwaite is a respected figure in the Sheffield sports media landscape. Originally trained as a statistician, Morris brings a data-driven approach to his coverage of football, snooker, and athletics. His analytical deep-dives have revolutionized how local outlets report on sporting performance.

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