With the NBA regular season nearing its end and only 13 games left, the Atlanta Hawks are likely headed to the play-in tournament for the fourth consecutive year. Currently seventh in the conference, they are 5 games behind the sixth-seed Detroit Pistons and 9.5 games ahead of the Toronto Raptors in 11th place. Although unlikely, a strong finish to the season could potentially allow them to overtake Detroit. The Hawks have been playing well in March, winning six of nine games, and Trae Young has been a standout performer, averaging 26.1 points and 11.4 assists this month. Notably, Young`s assists are slightly higher in wins (11.8) compared to losses (11.1). His playmaking will be crucial as Atlanta hosts the Golden State Warriors tonight.
For the Warriors-Hawks game, the initial betting line favored Golden State by 1 point, but it has since shifted to 2.5 points. According to betting consensus, the money line is set at -139 for the Warriors and +118 for the Hawks.
If you are interested in player prop bets, particularly on Trae Young`s performance against the Warriors, analytical models can be helpful. These models, like the one mentioned, analyze real-time data to identify potential betting opportunities. They often provide star ratings to indicate the strength of each prop bet suggestion, which can be useful for building parlays on various betting platforms.
Let`s examine three top-rated player prop bets for the Warriors-Hawks game based on an analytical model, and explore the potential payout of a same-game parlay combining these props.
Brandin Podziemski – Under 14.5 points
Odds: -106, Rating: 4.5 stars
Analytical models suggest betting under 14.5 points for Podziemski. He is projected to score around 9.5 points. Historically, in games where the Warriors are favored, he has stayed under this points total in 15 of the last 25 games, averaging 9.6 points.
Onyeka Okongwu – Under 10.5 rebounds
Odds: -106, Rating: 4 stars
Betting under 10.5 rebounds for Okongwu is another recommendation. When the Hawks are underdogs against top defenses, Okongwu has gone under this rebound total in 16 of his last 25 games, averaging approximately 7.2 rebounds. Models predict around 9.0 rebounds for him in this game.
Trae Young – Under 10.5 assists
Odds: -118, Rating: 3.5 stars
Despite leading the NBA in assists, Young`s assist numbers tend to decrease against stronger defensive teams. He has been under 10.5 assists in 7 of his last 10 games against top-third defenses, averaging 9.0 assists in those games. Models project around 9.8 assists for Young in this matchup, suggesting the under is still a reasonable bet.
Combined Parlay Odds: +598
