The Winnipeg Jets face a critical Game 5 in their second-round 2025 Stanley Cup playoff series as they host the Dallas Stars on Thursday. Dallas currently holds a significant 3-1 lead in the series, having won Games 3 and 4 on their home ice. The pivotal fifth game is scheduled to take place at Canada Life Centre in Winnipeg, Manitoba, Canada.
According to the latest betting lines, Winnipeg is listed as a -125 favorite on the money line, meaning a $125 wager would win $100. The Dallas Stars are the underdogs at +105, with a $100 bet returning $105 if they win. The over/under for the total number of goals scored is set at 5.5. The Jets are also favored on the puck line at -1.5 (+205). The following predictions for this matchup are based on analysis from a proven sports projection model.
This projection model simulates every NHL game 10,000 times. It has demonstrated a strong performance record on top-rated NHL puck-line and over/under betting picks during the 2025 playoffs.
Here are some top predictions for the Jets vs. Stars Game 5:
Over 5.5 goals (-115)
Winnipeg`s goaltender, Connor Hellebuyck, has generally performed better at home in these playoffs, notably securing a 25-save shutout in Game 2 at Canada Life Centre. Despite this, the total goals have gone Over 5.5 in seven of the Jets` 11 postseason games. The projection model anticipates over 5.5 goals being scored in more than 50% of its simulations.
Mikael Granlund 1+ points (+130)
Dallas forward Mikael Granlund has been in excellent form, recording a hat trick in Game 4 and totaling five points (three goals, two assists) over his last two contests. With shots on goal in all but two playoff games, his chances of contributing at least one point in Game 5 are favorable.
Mikko Rantanen 2+ points (+200)
Mikko Rantanen has been a significant offensive threat, accumulating 11 points (seven goals, four assists) over his last five games, with three of those being multi-point performances. He began the series powerfully with a hat trick in Game 1 and followed up with three points (one goal, two assists) in Game 3.
